Maybe Mayberry?
August 20, 2008
For awhile now I’ve been intrigued by peak oil theory. However, I haven’t been all that enamored with the apocalyptic predications that many of the proponents of the theory envision. Any student of history will tell you that, apart from natural disasters and to a lesser extent war, changes occur gradually. Civilizations adapt gradually as people learn to cope with the changing environment. I seriously doubt that law abiding people will devolve into desperate killers over precious drops of gasoline. I do believe that things will change as everything connected to oil increases in price. They already have. Americans have decreased their use of oil, and the price has dropped accordingly. This up and down of the market will continue but the trend line will be for prices to go up over time as demand out paces supply. What our society will look like in the future is the subject of a great article by Brian Kaller in the August 25th edition of The American Conservative Magazine. Kaller blogs at Restoring Mayberry.